NFL Week 5 predictions: ESPN matchup predictor's picks, win probabilities for this week (2024)

Which NFL teams have the best chances of winning their games on the NFL Week 5 schedule?

ESPN Analytics has revealed its Matchup Predictor numbers for the 14 games in the league this week, and they offer some interesting win probabilities.

Take a look at the site's picks for this week's NFL games, beginning with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons on Thursday Night Football and ending with the New Orleans Saints at Kansas City Chiefs on Monday Night Football.

Some of the site's predictions differ from NFL Week 5 odds and other NFL Week 5 picks for NFL Week 5 games.

How correct will the analytics be this week?

Click on each game for more NFL Week 5 predictions for that NFL matchup. All times MST.

The site allows for the possibility of ties, so the numbers add up to just less than 100%.

NFL Week 5 picks: Buccaneers vs Falcons | Jets vs Vikings | Panthers vs Bears | Ravens vs Bengals | Bills vs Texans | Colts vs Jaguars | Dolphins vs Patriots | Browns vs Commanders | Raiders vs Broncos | Cardinals vs 49ers | Packers vs Rams | Giants vs Seahawks | Cowboys vs Steelers | Saints vs Chiefs | The Arizona Republic's predictions

Watch NFL games this week on FUBO (free trial)

Thursday Night Football prediction, Oct. 3

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons, 5:15 p.m., Prime Video (stream on Amazon)

Falcons have a 52.1% chance to beat Buccaneers on Thursday Night Football.

The site gives the Buccaneers a 47.5% shot at winning the NFL Week 5 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.

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Sunday morning London game prediction, Oct. 6

New York Jets vs Minnesota Vikings, 6:30 a.m., NFL Network (stream with free trial from FUBO)

Vikings have a 53.8% chance of beating the Jets on Sunday.

The site gives the Jets a 45.8% shot at winning the NFL Week 5game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.

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Sunday early NFL football game predictions, Oct. 6

Carolina Panthers at Chicago Bears, 10 a.m., FOX (stream with free trial from FUBO)

Bears have a 61.5% chance to beat Panthers on Sunday.

The site gives the Panthers a 38.1% shot at winning the NFL Week 5game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.

Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals, 10 a.m., CBS (stream with free trial from FUBO)

Ravens have a 56% chance to beat the Bengals on Sunday.

The site gives the Bengals a 43.7% shot at winning the NFL Week 5game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.

Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans, 10 a.m., CBS (stream with free trial from FUBO)

Bills have a 56.1% chance to beat Texans on Sunday.

The site gives the Texans a 43.6% shot at winning the NFL Week 5game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.

Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars, 10 a.m., CBS (stream with free trial from FUBO)

Colts have a 50.4% chance to beat the Jaguars on Sunday.

The site gives the Jaguars a 49.2% shot at winning the NFL Week 5 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.

Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots, 10 a.m., FOX (stream with free trial from FUBO)

Patriots have a 56.6% chance to beat Dolphins on Sunday.

The site gives the Dolphins a 43% shot at winning the NFL Week 5game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.

Cleveland Browns at Washington Commanders, 10 a.m., FOX (stream with free trial from FUBO)

Commanders have a 62.7% chance to beat the Browns on Sunday.

The site gives the Browns a 37% shot at winning the NFL Week 5game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.

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Sunday late NFL football game predictions, Oct. 6

Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos, 1:05 p.m., FOX (stream with free trial from FUBO)

Broncos have a 50.3% chance to beat the Raiders on Sunday.

The site gives the Raiders a 49.3% shot at winning the NFL Week 5game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.

Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers, 1:05 p.m., FOX (stream with free trial from FUBO)

The Niners have a 70.5% chance to beat Cardinals on Sunday.

The site gives the Cardinals a 29.2% shot at winning the NFL Week 5game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.

Green Bay Packers at Los Angeles Rams, 1:25 p.m., CBS (stream with free trial from FUBO)

Packers have a 55.2% chance to beat the Rams on Sunday.

The site gives the Rams a 44.5% shot at winning the NFL Week 5game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.

New York Giants at Seattle Seahawks, 1:25 p.m., CBS (stream with free trial from FUBO)

Seahawks have a 63.4% chance to beat the Giants on Sunday.

The site gives the Giants a 36.3% shot at winning the NFL Week 5game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.

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Sunday Night Football prediction, Oct. 6

Dallas Cowboys at Pittsburgh Steelers, 5:20 p.m., NBC (stream with Peacock)

Steelers have a 52.5% chance to beat the Cowboys on Sunday Night Football.

The site gives the Cowboys a 47.1% shot at winning the NFL Week 5game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.

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Monday Night Football prediction, Oct. 7

New Orleans Saints at Kansas City Chiefs, 5:15 p.m., ESPN, ESPN2 (stream with free trial from FUBO)

Chiefs have a 61.6% chance to beat the Saints on Monday Night Football.

The site gives the Saints a 38% shot at winning the NFL Week 5game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.

The Detroit Lions, Los Angeles Chargers, Philadelphia Eagles, and Tennessee Titans are off this week.

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NFL Week 5 predictions: ESPN matchup predictor's picks, win probabilities for this week (2024)

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